Press releases

(23.10.15) The negative trend is unchanged as seen last weeks and consequently the NEW CONTEX reported a 16 points decrease closes at 400 points. Compared to 1st October it is negative shift of 40 points. Again the Panamax market has seen heaviest pressure with -8,9% on week-on-week basis or even more than 30% on month-by-month / 12 months valuation - basis. Also all other segments suffering as well with results between -2,6% (1100 TEU) upto -5,7% (3500 TEU). With further negative signals being reported it is unlikely that we will see a positive change soon.

(9.10.15) Also the beginning of the 4th quarter of the year did not change anything in the direction of the New ConTex development and so the index lost on w-o-w basis another 11 points (-2,5%) to a level of now 429 points. Themed by “the bigger, the worse”, one can see that the smaller units in the classes between 1100 and 2700 TEU lost moderately only (with -0,9 to -2,5% compared to last week); the evaluated classes of 3500 TEU as well as the Baby-Panamaxes with 4250 TEU, however, had to accept further reductions between -4,1% (24 mos evaluation for the 3500 TEU ships) and upto - 6,5% (12 mos evaluation for the 4250 TEU class). In this current rollercoaster setting with fairly volatile rate developments it is not much of a surprise – owed to the strong supply/demand imbalance in certain segments – that the situation appears to charter bigger ships for smaller money.

(2.10.2015) The New ConTex continues its contraction this week and closes at 440 points, a 3.3% decrease from week 39. Compared to last month, the overall index lost 37 points, a 7.8% drop from 477. The Panamax segment encounters the strongest decline and loses USD 943 or 7.2% this week, basis 24 months. Based on a 12 months period, this segment is even reaching a USD 1.198 plunge which is equivalent to a negative 10.1% compared to last week.

The 2500 TEU segment lost another USD 220 (-2.5% w-o-w) and the 3500 TEU segment closed at USD 10.664 which is a further decline of USD 457 compared to last week. The smaller sizes seem less affected by the negative trend. Whilst the 1100 TEU is showing week on week changes of -2.0%, the 1700 TEU segment decreased by -1.9%.

The overall New ConTex is still at 18.3% above last year's performance, but in view of the general downward trend it remains unclear how long the market will stay above these levels.

 

(24.09.15) The New ConTex closes week 39 at 455 points and continues the downward trend on a w-o-w and m-o-m basis, however it stands +23.0% on a y-o-y basis. The panamax segment remains under heavy pressure loosing USD 825 in a m-o-m basis but remains 25.9% above last year (12 months). The smaller sizes - 1100 TEU & 1700 TEU - show little change on a w-o-w basis with  a drop of 1.5% for the 1100 TEU and 1.6% on the 1700 TEU.

(25.09.15) The New ConTex closes week 39 at 455 points and continues the downward trend on a w-o-w and m-o-m basis, however it stands +23.0% on a y-o-y basis. The panamax segment remains under heavy pressure loosing USD 825 in a m-o-m basis but remains 25.9% above last year (12 months). The smaller sizes - 1100 TEU & 1700 TEU - show little change on a w-o-w basis with  a drop of 1.5% for the 1100 TEU and 1.6% on the 1700 TEU.

Although the pace of the market decline appears to be slowing at least for the moment, the fact that it is declining at all given the time of year is of course a disappointment for Owners. September and October are usually months when rates are expected to be on the rise. The New ConTex index shed another
3 points and now stands at 472. Yet again all sizes were marked down with the 2700 TEU gearless class declining the most, at 1.9% over the week whilst the 3500 TEUs gearless class was managing to hold on almost unchanged. Given the disappointing developments in cargo volumes and the significant amount of
capacity continuing to join the fleet, conditions look set to be rather challenging in the months ahead.

(21.8.15) The New Contex closes week 34 at 482 points, another drop of 6 points compared to the previous week but remains positively 31,3% above last year. The New Contex has fallen for 10 weeks straight. All segments stay in double digits percentage on a y-o-y basis. The 3500 TEU size has seen the smallest drop by -0.2 % on a w-o-w basis, whereat the 2500 TEU class dropped by -2.5% on a w-o-w basis.

(14.8.15) The main characteristics of the second week of August was limited fixing activity and therefore the negative development of this summer season continues. The New ConTex Index declined this week by 8 points (-1,6%) and closed at 488 points, a level we last saw in March 2015. While on a long-term trend there is still hope for a good finish of this year, the index gains of spring slowly but steadily fades away in all segments. Apart from the 12 months 1100 TEU evaluation which remained stable this week, nearly all other segments continued their downward trend. Within this week the biggest decrease has been noticed in the 3500 TEU group basis the 12-month evaluation with a loss of -2,8% (-$344). Compared to other segments the 4250 TEU group proceeds its steady trend, apart from a minor drop of around -1% this week.

 

 

(07.08.15) The New ConTex index shed a further 7 points over the week, passing throughwhat some may view as a "psychological barrier" of 500 and now stands at 496.However the developments during this week have not been entirelydisappointing with a rally apparent in the 3500 TEU sector; basis 12 months'employment this sector was marked up a healthy 1.3% compared to last week.And it would also be fair to point out that the 4250 TEU panamax sector isholding up well compared to many others.However, for Owners of the smaller geared ships and 2700-2800 TEU gearlessships, there is no escaping the fact that the gains made up until only ashort while ago are being steadily eroded with week-on-week percentage lossesin the 2s.

(31.07.15) The first market participants wish for the end of the summer lull period. Unfortunately the end is not yet in sight and so the New ConTex finished the week with another loss of 13 points (equal to 2,5%) at the current level of 503 points. Meantime it has to be mentioned that neither on w-o-w as well as on m-o-m basis a positive result in a single segment can be found.

Looking back to the previous years, the number of idle ships around appears less, however, at the same time the psychological factor gained much more importance. Once the demand / supply ration turns to the negative side, it becomes more than obvious. Further influence to the situation gives the fact that hardly new business is available and fixtures only appear in form of direct continuations of existing contracts